Sunday 2 March 2014

Why WhatsApp is worth $19 billion

1.Future billion users

Facebook might have topped one.2 billion active monthly users, however growth has been stagnating and (according to some reports) the social network is admittedly shrinking. the matter is developing countries. Facebook is basically omnipresent among the America and far of Europe, however traction is slow across region, land and Asia.

On declarative the deal Facebook chief military personnel Mark Zuckerberg documented this specifically: “There unit countries [such as] peninsula or Japan wherever another transmission service is larger, however if you look out on the planet, WhatsApp – across Europe, region, India, various places in Asia – is that the clear leader.”

WhatsApp is however Facebook hopes to fill in its world gaps. “Once we've Associate in Nursing inclination to induce to being a service that contains a billion, 2 billion, 3 billion individuals in some just one occasion among the longer term, there unit several clear ways in which during which we've got a bent to ar able to let,” he said threateningly.

 2. The new SMS

Many comments ar created that Facebook already contains a WhatsApp rival: Facebook mortal that there unit varied utterly completely different common instant transmission rivals it could’ve been bought for lots of less. This misses the aim.


WhatsApp isn't relating to wiping out instant messengers from the likes of Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, Skype and Google  those services all have ecosystems that WhatsApp cannot replace. Instead WhatsApp is relating to substitution SMS.

Like SMS, key to WhatsApp’s success is its lack of associate system. It is lean, tidy and easily ties to your signal. whereas the planet switches from minutes and messages to information bundles phone numbers aren’t going anyplace for a minimum of a decade. WhatsApp will become the SMS of the semipermanent, succeeding wherever MMS has unsuccessful miserably.

3. To prevent anyone else shopping for it

WhatsApp has many competition, the foremost credible of that unit Line and WeChat with over 300m and 400m active users severally. Line dominates Japan, WeChat dominates China. except for those actual reasons getting either is fraught with draw back and raises an amazing sort of governmental and privacy problems. it is the same for Kakao speak (100m users – Korean), Nimbuzz (150m users – India) and Hike (30m users – India).

Who unit the alternative immense players? Facebook’s previous target Snapchat contains a comparatively little 30m active users and together the alternative major players unit Skype (now event Windows Live Messenger), Yahoo! mortal and Google Hangouts – none of that a) will match WhatsApp’s numbers, b) unit available, or c) though they were available, accompany with various extraneous baggage.

The exception was Viber that, with 300m active users, was apparently a discount for Rakuten once it had been purchased for $900m earlier this month. however Viber’s success is preponderantly among the west and as a Japanese business Rakuten was keen to urge a grip in those areas, the selection of what Facebook required. this might be identical reason US-based Kik (130m users) and Tango (150m users) command very little or no attractiveness.

4. Facebook is presently a conglomerate

While Facebook antecedently had a name for crunching up and absorbent its purchases with Borg-like potency, the company’s previous record purchase Instagram shows a key modification of maneuver.

Initially that sale prompted several to expect the service to be accordion into Facebook for higher exposure sharing and redaction, however that would’ve tried a waste. Instagram users love Instragram as a results of it isn’t Facebook. Crowbarring it into Facebook would’ve arguably simply killed the service and gained Facebook few new users as most Instragam users were besides on the face of it on Facebook.

What Facebook is quick learning isn't everything ought to be confined below one all overwhelming whole. thus quite the selection is true with Facebook’s size presently reaching evil someone proportions that is truly antagonistic some demographics – significantly younger generations World Health Organization cannot escape their individuals and members of the family.

So whereas the threat of a ‘Login with Facebook’ hovers over WhatsApp, the Instagram expertise suggests Facebook would rather own the foremost players with whole utterly completely different attributes and retain what makes them successful than risk compromising them simply to stamp a Facebook emblem everywhere the planet. it's the Pfizer technique.

5. Engagement

“WhatsApp is that the solely app we’ve ever seen with higher engagement than Facebook itself,” admitted Zuckerberg said in associate extraordinarily decision to journalists yesterday once the deal was declared.

This is crucial as a results of it'sn’t simply users Facebook wants it's very engaged users keen about the platform. this might be a key distinction between WhatsApp and Snapchat. You don’t generally send twenty SnapChat footage daily, however it's not uncommon to send twenty WhatsApp messages throughout daily.

It is a state of affairs that besides applies to Skype, Twitter Direct messages (thanks to its restrictions) and Hangouts needs a Google account. solely SMS and Facebook mortal will claim similar engagement levels, however the previous can't be bought and together the latter Facebook already owns.

WhatsApp was a warning shot
Combined Facebook, Instragram and WhatsApp can bring Zuckerberg near a pair of billion active users. Naturally there'll be important overlap (figures that haven’t been disclosed), however the trio besides offer Zuckerberg a colossal user bases in only relating to each major country across the world. In declarative the deal the chief military personnel declared his ambition of “connecting the world’s people”.

He presently has the prospect, however even below Facebook possession WhatsApp got to be remembered as a warning: it grew to 400m users and a $16bn valuation 3 years once launch. If Facebook gets its strategy wrong another rival can on the face of it grow even quicker.

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